Prior probability | Prior odds (Yes/No) | Posterior odds | Posterior probability |
---|---|---|---|
0.90 (very strong) | 0.9/(1-0.9) = 9 | 9x Bayes factor = 3.22 | 3.22/(1+3.22) = 0.76 |
0.75 (strong) | 0.75/(1-0.75) = 3 | 3x Bayes factor = 1.07 | 1.07/(1+1.07) = 0.52 |
0.50 (equivocal) | 0.50/(1-0.50)= 1 | 1x Bayes factor = 0.36 | 0.36/(1+1.07) = 0.26 |
0.25 (weak) | 0.25/(1-0.25) = 0.33 | 0.33x Bayes factor = 0.12 | 0.12/(1+0.12) = 0.11 |
0.10 (very weak) | 0.10/(1-0.10) = 0.11 | 0.11x Bayes factor = 0.04 | 0.04(1+0.04) = 0.04 |