Fig. 2

Percentage of SAM-related-deaths of children that would be excluded for treatment with a MUAC-only program by country. Sim simulation data from Fig. 1, representing the probable ratio of case fatality rates (CFRs) and likely extremes; All, IPF, OPT, SFC are the empirical case fatality rates of patients under different modes of treatment [16]; Literature mortality rates from Additional file 1 derived from the data in reference [17]; Case Loads S-muac = MUAC < 115 mm with WHZ > = −3Z: S-whz = WHZ < −3Z with MUAC > 115 mm: S-both = MUAC < 115 mm and WHZ < −3Z; DRC Democratic Republic of the Congo; CAR Central African Republic. The case loads per country are from reference [12]. The colours represent the percent of total SAM-related-deaths occurring in cases that would be excluded from treatment in a MUAC-only program: Red 75–100%: Pink 50–75%: Orange 25–50%: green 10–25%: Blue 0–10%. * These countries case load comes from a small sample size. ** The case load from Kenya comes from the North of Kenya (similar to Sahel)