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Table 3 Population level results for the health gain and cost of the 10 sodium reduction interventions (95 % uncertainty intervals) a

From: Modeling health gains and cost savings for ten dietary salt reduction targets

Intervention

Health gain (QALYs for remainder of the cohort’s life)

Health system cost (NZ$; millions) for remainder of the cohort’s life

“Do nothing” comparator b

33.2 million (33.0 to 33.4 million)

162,000 (145,000 to 181,000)

Incremental to “Do nothing

  

– Mandatory measures achieved

  

1) Full target

235,000 (176,000 to 298,000)

-1260 (-1710 to 870)

2) Packaged foods target

122,000 (98,200 to 149,000)

-660 (-868 to 480)

3) Fast food & restaurant target

68,700 (55,200 to 83,600)

-370 (-487 to 270)

4) Bread target

8900 (7100 to 10,800)

-45.2 (-61 to 32)

5) Processed meats target

13,400 (10,800 to 16,200)

-70.0 (-94 to 50)

6) Sauces target

20,000 (16,100 to 24,300)

-106 (-141 to 77)

7) Package of Interventions 4 to 6

42,400 (34,200 to 51,500)

-228 (-302 to 167)

8) Snack food target

6100 (5000 to 7400)

-30.3 (-40 to 21)

9) All bread and bakery target

20,400 (16,600 to 24,800)

-108 (-141 to 78)

10) Cheese target

8800 (7100 to 10,600)

-44.6 (-59 to 32)

– Voluntary measures achieved

  

1) Full target

222,000 (168,000 to 284,000)

-1170 (-1600 to 798)

2) Packaged foods target

115,000 (85,300 to 147,000)

-608 (-827 to 425)

3) Fast food & restaurant target

64,700 (48,000 to 82,200)

-338 (-461 to 236)

4) Bread target

8400 (6200 to 10,600)

-35.7 (-52 to 22)

5) Processed meats target

12,700 (9600 to 16,000)

-58.4 (-82 to 38)

6) Sauces target

18,900 (14,400 to 23,900)

-91.9 (-128 to 61)

7) Package of Interventions 4 to 6

40,100 (30,500 to 50,700)

-205 (-281 to 141)

8) Snack food target

5800 (4400 to 7300)

-22.0 (-34 to 12)

9) All bread and bakery target

19,400 (14,700 to 24,400)

-95.1 (-134 to 63)

10) Cheese target

8300 (6300 to 10,500)

-35.4 (-52 to 22)

  1. a Expected values for the NZ adult population aged 35+ years and alive in 2011 modeled out to death or age 100. Numbers are rounded to two or three meaningful digits
  2. b No intervention costs are included in this “do nothing comparator” (i.e., the costs of the currently existing programs of “dietary counselling by dietitians” and the “Endorsement Label Program” [4] are removed)